Poland’s Tusk set to win confidence vote, but faces uphill slog to govern – POLITICO

Dorota Łoboda, a parliamentarian for Tusk’s Civic Coalition, the largest party in the government and spokesperson for its parliamentary caucus, said the aim of the vote was to dispel suggestions that Tusk’s administration was wobbling after Nawrocki’s wafer-thin win.

“We want to end all speculation regarding the alleged loss of support for Donald Tusk’s government. We simply want to end external and internal discussions, and any attempts to undermine the mandate Donald Tusk has to lead the government, and just move forward,” she said.

That, however, is easier said than done. Nawrocki’s victory directly threatens Tusk’s ability to enact his agenda, as the president can veto key reforms in areas including abortion, same-sex partnerships, the judicial system and social security payments for the self-employed.

Nawrocki’s unexpected victory sent shockwaves through Tusk’s four-party coalition, which now promises to intensify efforts to deliver on the commitments made ahead of the 2023 general election. A lack of progress on the initiatives that helped bring the coalition to power two years ago is seen as a key factor behind the shift of voters away from it on June 1.

Nawrocki is expected to chisel away at the government’s effectiveness and popularity ahead of the next general election in 2027.

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Tusk’s administration would have needed a three-fifths majority to override presidential vetoes, but falls well short. Indeed, polls already suggest the coalition would lose its majority to the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) party and the far-right Konfederacja party, whose voters played a key role in securing Nawrocki’s victory.

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